2023 MLB playoff picture, baseball standings, postseason projections, tiebreakers, magic numbers

The 2023 Major League Baseball playoffs start in two weeks, but a lot is yet to be determined in MLB’s playoff picture . So far, four teams have clinched postseason berths. The Orioles and Rays joined the NL East-winning Braves and NL-West winning Dodgers as 2023 playoff teams on Sunday. The Twins and Brewers are closing in on division titles in the AL and NL Central, respectively, but the wild-card races in both leagues figure to come down to the wire.

In the American League wild-card hunt, three teams are fighting for two spots. The Rays have a huge lead for the AL’s No. 4 seed, and they’ll host a Wild Card Series if they can’t catch the Orioles in the AL East. The Astros are trying to fend off the Rangers and Mariners in the division, and the Blue Jays are jostling with those three AL West clubs for the final two wild-card spots.

In the National League, the Diamondbacks and Marlins both had weekend sweeps that helped them move up the standings. The Phillies are hanging onto the No. 4 seed in the NL, but their spot is not guaranteed. The Cubs (who were swept by the D-backs over the weekend), Reds and Giants are also in the mix.

The 2023 MLB playoff picture is also notable for who is not in it. The Yankees, Mets, Padres and Cardinals — all playoff teams in 2022 and expected contenders in 2023 — have had disappointing years that will end with the regular season. The Angels saw their playoff hopes dashed in a dismal August. The Halos crashed out of the race in August and finally shut Shohei Ohtani for the season over the weekend.

As a reminder, MLB now uses a 12-team playoff format with the three division winners and three wild card teams in both leagues qualifying for the postseason. The two division winners with the best records in each league get byes to the League Division Series round, while the other eight teams square off in a best-of-three Wild Card Series.

Who’s clinched?

Braves: Clinched NL East
Dodgers: Clinched NL West
Orioles: Clinched AL playoff spot
Rays: Clinched AL playoff spot

Magic numbers

Twins’ magic number to clinch AL Central: 5
Brewers’ magic number to clinch NL Central: 7

Tiebreakers

Here’s a look at key tiebreakers that could come into play to determine playoff spots and seeding. MLB uses head-to-head record as the top tiebreaker among teams that finish with the same record.

AL East
Orioles own tiebreaker over Rays

AL West
Astros own tiebreaker over Rangers
Mariners own tiebreaker over Astros
Rangers own tiebreaker over Mariners

AL wild card
Rangers own tiebreaker over Mariners and Blue Jays
Mariners own tiebreaker over Blue Jays

NL wild card
Phillies own tiebreaker over Reds, Cubs, Diamondbacks
Marlins own tiebreaker over Phillies, Diamondbacks, Cubs, Reds
Giants own tiebreaker over Phillies, Marlins, Reds, Diamondbacks
Cubs own tiebreaker over Giants
Diamondbacks own tiebreaker over Cubs
Reds own tiebreaker over Cubs, Diamondbacks

Here’s a look at the MLB standings and playoff picture for the 12-team postseason as of this morning. All division and postseason odds are courtesy of SportsLine, and you can check out the expanded standings here.